When does the 3D printing industry come out of the "market canyon"

3D printing has traditionally been referred to as "manufacturing technology with industrial revolutionary significance." Despite being highly anticipated, it has been used in aerospace and other fields in China, and has not formed a large-scale and profitable industrial form. This has led to the development of its “fool”. This widely optimistic emerging technology is still in the “market canyon” between “early adopters” and stable profits.

Part of the world's technological world

Li Feng, an engineer at the Beijing Haiying Science and Technology Information Research Institute, has studied the patents of 3D printing. According to him, at present, some of China's technologies in this field are at the advanced level in the world. Among them, laser direct processing metal technology has developed rapidly, and has basically met the mechanical performance requirements of special parts. In this regard, the Huang Weidong team at Northwestern Polytechnical University used this type of technology to directly manufacture metal parts and has successfully remanufactured aero engine blades. At the same time, Wang Huaming, a professor at Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, led the "laser forming technology for large-scale complex components of aircraft titanium alloys", which made China a world leader in 3D printing of high-performance metal materials. Now it has been widely used in China's aerospace industry. field.

Li Feng also said that although there are many patents in the field of 3D printing in China, there is still a big gap between the quality and the leading countries. “There are fewer patents in the 3D printing field with high reference frequency, and there are relatively few patent claims. Li Feng explained that the number of entries reflects the advancement and complexity of technology to a certain extent, and also reflects the quality of patents.

Zhang Haiou, a professor at Huazhong University of Science and Technology who has been in the field of 3D printing for more than 10 years, also said that the lack of core technologies and talents is a key factor restricting the development of 3D printing in China. Yan Yongnian, a professor at Tsinghua University, said that “metal 3D printing is a shortcut to the high-end market such as aerospace and military,” but “the fat and water is not flowing outside the field” is the status quo of these high-end markets. He hopes that these areas will be more open and will have The core technology is further promoted.

Facing wait and see and waiting for resistance

In fact, although generally optimistic, at the 4th World 3D Printing Technology Industry Conference held recently, industry insiders pointed out that many users have been on the sidelines and are reluctant to take the lead in using this new technology. In this regard, Luo Jun, CEO of China 3D Printing Technology Industry Alliance, said that many domestic manufacturers "do not know how to start."

In response to the adoption of domestic 3D printing technology, Gao Qun and Zheng Jialin of Fuzhou University conducted surveys and statistics on the use of 3D printing technology based on the public data of the top 200 companies in the top 500 Chinese manufacturing companies in 2014. The number of business users using this technology is 34, accounting for only 17% of the total number of surveys. This shows that China's 3D printing technology is still in the "market canyon" stage, that is, only some users are willing to "early adopt", more key users have not adopted it, and a large number of users are still waiting to see.

According to this, Professor Bao Guoguang of Northeastern University believes that companies, departments or individuals who currently use 3D printing technology in China are users with innovative spirit and far-sighted beliefs. They like the challenges brought by 3D printing technology and firmly believe in the prospect of 3D printing technology. ". However, the proportion of such technology adopters in the market is still very small. The industrialization of 3D printing technology needs a “pragmatist” who is stable, rational and pays attention to actual profits. They decide and mark the application of 3D printing new technology market. The maturity group, and only after crossing the "market canyon", the industrialization of 3D printing technology can be initially formed.

Should seize the technical blowout period

Despite doubts and wait-and-see resistance from the market, the industry is still very optimistic about the prospects of the 3D printing industry. Well-known market research firm Wallace this year's latest 3D printing industry report shows that in the past year, the global 3D printing market has grown by nearly $1 billion, and now stands at $5.165 billion. China's 3D printing technology industry alliance also predicted that China's 3D printing industry market will reach 10 billion yuan in 2016.

In the face of such a huge market, how can China's 3D printing industry develop in the future to achieve explosive growth? Some experts have also developed their own "prescription". “There are more than 100 companies engaged in 3D printing in China, and the total number is close to or exceeds the sum of global 3D printing companies outside China.” Luo Jun said that for the question of “bubble”, he believes that this is the majority. The extensive development stage of the development of emerging industries is inevitable.

Yan Yongnian proposed the high-end market. "We will buy steel in the future, instead of buying steel plates, wires and steel ingots, but with a bag to load industrial powder. Heavy-duty 3D printing metal technology targets large parts of nuclear power plants and aircraft carriers. It must be very promising." Lu Bingheng, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, believes that the prospect of 3D printing is "creative material", which is to develop ultra-high strength, ultra-high temperature resistance, super high toughness and super high corrosion resistance according to the material genome. new material. From "creative materials" to "creation", that is, printing cells to make organs, and even printing genes in cells to achieve genetic variation. He stressed that this area is now in a technical blowout period, but the industry is developing too slowly, the number of enterprises is too large, and there is a lack of leaders. It is in the middle of the race, and China should promptly come up with its own response strategy. (Reporter Zhan Yuan)

(Editor)

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